Dr Gavin Whitaker
Quantitative Analyst at Smartodds
- Whitaker GA, Silva R, Edwards D, Kosmidis, I. A Bayesian inference approach for determining player abilities in football. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics), 2021, 70(1), 174-201.
- Whitaker GA, Silva R, Edwards D. Visualizing a team's goal chances in soccer from attacking events: A Bayesian inference approach. Big Data, 2018, 6(4), 271-290.
- Tsokos A, Narayanan S, Kosmidis I, Baio G, Cucuringu M, Whitaker GA,
Király, F. Modeling outcomes of soccer matches. Machine Learning, 2019, 108, 77-95.
- Whitaker GA, Golightly A, Boys RJ, Sherlock C. Improved bridge constructs for stochastic differential equations. Statistics and Computing, 2017, 27(4), 885-900. With accompanying code.
- Whitaker GA, Golightly A, Boys RJ, Sherlock C. Bayesian inference for diffusion-driven mixed-effects models. Bayesian Analysis, 2017, 12(2), 435-463.
- My thesis, entitled "Bayesian Inference for Stochastic Differential Mixed-effects Models." 2016, (2.4MB).
- 4th July 2018: ISBIS, University of Piraeus, Greece: Using player abilities to predict football (2.7MB).
- 6th December 2017: RSS local group seminar, Newcastle University: Using player abilities to predict football.
- 12th October 2017: R&D seminar, Stratagem Technologies: An introduction to variational inference.
- 21st September 2017: R&D seminar, Stratagem Technologies: An introduction to Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.
- 12th June 2017: R&D seminar, Stratagem Technologies: Determining player abilities: a Bayesian inference approach.
- 16th December 2016: SSH, University College London: Ranking players in football: What? Why? How? (Some introductory ideas).
- 30th April 2014: RSC, Nottingham University: Bayesian inference for stochastic differential random effects models (757kB).
- 5th March 2014: SBSSB, Newcastle University: MCMC schemes for partially observed diffusions: challenges and solutions (1MB).
- 4th December 2013: SBSSB, Newcastle University: Inference for stochastic differential random effects models (887kB).
- 26th March 2013: RSC, Lancaster University: MCMC schemes for partially observed diffusions (642kB).
- 13th March 2013: SBSSB, Newcastle University: An innovative look at MCMC schemes for partially
observed diffusions (687kB).
- 5th December 2012: SBSSB, Newcastle University: MCMC schemes for partially observed diffusions (2.5MB)
- 21st November 2012: Postgraduate Forum, Newcastle University: Stochastic differential equations: A story through pictures.
- 2nd May 2012: SBSSB, Newcastle University: Bayesian inference for stochastic differential mixed effects models - initial steps (681kB).
- 22nd February 2012: Postgraduate Forum, Newcastle University: The Bivariate Poisson distribution and the prediction of football matches.
Conferences, Courses and Meetings Attended
- Big Data London 2019, London, 13th-14th November 2019.
- RSS Conference 2019, Belfast, 2nd-5th September 2019.
- RSS Conference 2018, Cardiff, 3rd-6th September 2018.
- KDD 2018, Excel Centre, London, 19th-23th August 2018.
- ISBIS 2018, University of Piraeus, Greece, 4th-6th July 2018.
- ISBA 2018, Edinburgh, 24th-29th June 2018.
- ABS 2018: Bayesian Statistical Modelling and Analysis in Sport, Como, 4th-8th June 2018.
- Third UCL Workshop on the Theory of Big Data, University College London, 26th-28th June 2017.
- ISBA 2016, Sardinia, 13th-17th June 2016.
- Third Subjective Bayesian Meeting, Newcastle University, 13th December 2015.
- Scottish and Northumbrian Academic Statisticians Meeting, Durham University, 22nd May 2015.
- GTP 2014 week 2, Newcastle University, 8th-12th September 2014.
- GTP 2014 week 1, Newcastle University, 28th July - 1st August 2014.
- Northern Postgrad Mini-conference in Statistics 2014, Newcastle University, 23rd - 24th June 2014.
- RSC 2014, Nottingham University, 28th April - 1st May 2014.
- RSS 2013, Newcastle, 3rd-5th September 2013.
- GTP 2013, Newcastle University, 22nd-26th July 2013.
- “What Are The Odds?”, atass, 13th-14th June 2013.
- Scottish and Northumbrian Academic Statisticians Meeting, Newcastle University, 24th May 2013.
- RSC 2013, Lancaster University, 25th-28th March 2013.
- Durham/Newcastle week, Durham University, 18th-22nd March 2013.
- APTS Glasgow, University of Glasgow, 3rd-7th September 2012.
- GTP 2012, Newcastle University, 23rd-27th July 2012.
- RSC 2012, University of Southampton, 9th-12th July 2012.
- APTS Warwick, University of Warwick, 2nd-6th July 2012.
- APTS Nottingham, University of Nottingham, 16th-20th April 2012.
- Durham/Newcastle week, Newcastle University, 26th-30th March 2013.
- APTS Cambridge, University of Cambridge, 9th-13th January 2012.
- I was a KTP Associate working on a project around sports modelling between University College London and Stratagem Technologies from 1st November 2016 - 31st October 2018.
- RA on the Customer-Led Network Revolution (CLNR) project at Newcastle University from 1st July 2014 - 31st May 2015.
- I worked as an RA on a project between Newcastle University and PragmatIC from 1st April 2016 - 31st July 2016.
- I was a PhD student at Newcastle University from September 2011 - July 2016. My thesis was entitled "Bayesian Inference for Stochastic Differential Mixed-effects Models", supervised by Prof. Richard Boys and Dr Andrew Golightly.
My Masters project on The Bivariate Poisson Distribution and its Applications to Football (246kB) with accompanying poster (67kB).
- I have been acting since I was 8 and have performed in many plays both at university and back home for the Stephen Joseph Theatre.
- I enjoy writing plays and to date have had 3 plays performed at Northern Stage for the Newcastle Drama Festival, winning best script in 2013. I also wrote the 2011 Newcastle University pantomine.
- I'm a keen fan of comedy and dabble in standup, performing for the university and at various comedy nights around Newcastle. Below is a clip of me talking about Pringles from the Chortle Student Comedy Award 2013, Newcastle heat:
- I enjoy football and support Liverpool FC. I'm also interested in the prediction of football matches (and other sports), a freely available model can be found here.
- I like most sports: Football, cricket, rugby and golf (to name but a few). If it's on, I'll probably watch it (along with attempting to play it badly).